Rethink Every Assumption

Richard Florida posted about The Great Car Reset, talking about how America’s passion for cars might be waning a bit. In another story, with video, Florida talked about how we should rethink home ownership (the video is below – click through if you can’t see it). He’s not wrong in either case, or rather, it’s something to consider.

I grew up thinking home ownership was the goal. I have a loft in northern Massachusetts that’s about 955 square feet, with a wife and two kids and two cats in it. It’s a wee bit small. So, I’ve been thinking about homes and clicking the occasional real estate link that Kat sends me. But do I want to own?

We use to think homes were important places to store equity. Wow, that sure didn’t work out for a lot of people in the last few years. Even if a home stores equity, you can’t actually get at that money until you sell, so it’s money that’s not being used. In essence, it’s not earning you anything if it’s just sitting there in the home, still. So, a home as a simple residence isn’t exactly a great investment these days (at least by some people’s thinking).

What about cars? Cars depreciate the moment you buy them. They rarely go up in value. They require maintenance, parking fees, etc. And we usually own cars when we live in the suburbs, but that brings us back to the real estate question, and whether or not we even want to be in the suburbs any more. If we reurbanize, if we rethink our cities, if we rework how we work, would we need to throw $20,000 or more into something that just moves us from A to B?

I’m just throwing this all out there to talk about, to think about. The video is interesting, too. What do you think?

From The Burden of Home Ownership.

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  • http://twitter.com/makasha makasha

    I like the way you broke this down. I come from a family that believes home ownership is the only way to go but in some circumstances renting is better. For example, my husband is a collegiate coach and over the past 7 years we have moved 4 times. Once we purchased a home in Tennessee and it took us almost 8 months to sell. During this time we had rent in Georgia, the mortgage in Tennessee, and utilities on both. Fortunately, we earned enough income to cover the cost but we really could not enjoy anything.

    Now, we rent but have increased the amount of money going into our savings and retirement accounts. We don't have the maintenance of owning a home either. We have decided–against the advice of family and friends–to wait until we know exactly where we want to live.

  • Susan Milligan

    You think you own a house? Try to skip paying utilities, or taxes or the mortgage. You will soon see that you own your home only as long as you pay somebody each month for that privilege, and you live by the rules governing the land that the house sits on. (does that sound like very expensive renting, while assuming all the responsibilities?) Your name on the deed isn't unconditional. You need permits to install or add on. The house is an arrangement of sticks and bricks and stones. The value is in the land. But in the case of eminent domain, if someone else wants your land, …… plan to stand across the road and wave 'your' kingdom goodbye. Who in their right mind would give up $200,000 for a place to sleep, watch TV and take a shower? Remember, YOU mow the lawn, wash the windows, shovel the walks and plow the driveway. That house incurs many other expenses that you can't imagine. Buying a home now for investment or family is only sound if the prices fall significantly and ones income is a sure thing.
    “”So, a home as a simple residence isn’t exactly a great investment these days.”" I agree with that statement, Chris.

    IMExperiencedHO the second bad bad use of money is …..that shiny commercialized new car you think you need. (usually you think you need two) The depreciation on that begins the day it leaves the dealership. The payments always add up to more than the negotiated sticker price. The insurance is deadly in the cities, as is upkeep. Oh and if you own a home, a Garage to house it…. ahhh yes that 800 square feet so your car can have a room of its own that you are paying for On Your Mortgage. Thats more room than one gives to their children. And after all the hoopla, in 12 months it’s just another used car.
    I give my opinion with respect for those who think differently.

  • http://www.ManishaThakor.com ManishaThakor

    Makasha – From my experience working in financial services I'd say you've got one savvy strategy going on right now, and some day those family & friends will be coming to you for advice!

    Here a link you might like. CNN just put this up; it's an interactive map that let's you see for various cities in the US whether it makes more sense to rent or to buy. And of course, this is a “big picture market analysis” – there still could be many reason (like you could get transferred to another state for your job in next few year) why renting still might make the most sense for you even in a city that is deemed “attractive to buy”.

    http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/03/real_estate/ren…

  • Andrew Knowles

    We've been trying to sell our family home, in the UK, for six months, in order to relocate. The market's dead.

    It would be great to have a rental arrangement that allowed us to relocate when we wanted to, without our future being so closely tied to the market. Okay, so there's a market in rental as well, but there's also more flexibility.

    We've been taught that buying is good, and now that large chunks of the mortgage will soon be settled through savings plans, we'll feel richer. Of course, the wealth is still going to be tied up in bricks and mortar!

    So what next – rent or buy? This post adds an interesting perspective but I'm yet to be convinced more rental is the way forward.

  • Jonpenn

    Chris, I suggest you read your history (not trying to be condescending). The reason America has become the greatest nation in the work is due to property ownership, in this case home ownership. The reason people fled Europe was to get out from under the select few that owned the property and be able to enjoy the freedoms that are the core of property ownership.

    If we all start renting (unfortunately, I do now as I lost my home to foreclosure) we will be subject to the select few that own the property. Out of this, the elite set the rules, and we the subjects follow. I fully believe that this is the agenda of the government in this country. If you have ever read Animal Farm by Orwell, you will get my point.

    Right now all that I hear for politicians is: “Four legs goooodddd, two legs badddddd!”. In other words it is the “right” thing to do to move into cities and sell your car, it is bad to own a house and commute by car. You see elite like Al Gore telling us what we, the people, need to do while he has mansions to live in and jets and gas hog SUVs cart him around.

    Our history dictates that property ownership is the basis of freedom, let us not forget that fact!

    Jon P.
    Texas

  • Jonpenn

    Heh, I meant to say greatest nation in the world, not work. Also, that the four legs good, two legs bad line comes out of Animal Farm by Orwell.

    Sorry, you get me fired up..lol

  • http://www.gabrielstandard.com Jeremiah

    As someone that has rented for 12+ years and is on the verge of becoming a homeowner in less than 2 weeks, after crunching the numbers the transition only makes sense in my scenario. Your question is still an interesting one, and one that addresses primary residence v. investment potential. With rates where they are, a secure steady income and the all but guaranteed appreciation of the home I am buying, the decision was easy. The ability to make a fairly substantial down payment and choosing a 30-year fixed mortgage also eases the mind. So in my case, there is investment potential that is more secure with a likely greater return than many other investment opportunities. Most people in my age bracket also tend to move homes every 5-7 years which addresses the issue of access to the investment return.
    I believe this is also a question of regional location. Most of America does not have the choice of urban living or suburban living. Most of America does not have a booming metropolis within reach, and this segment of the population would be best served to own as opposed to rent with inexpensive property often easily accessible.
    The biggest takeaway for me is one of due diligence and educated, lowest risk decision making. If you view real estate investments like a trip to the horse track, then you might want to continue renting your residence…

    http://www.gabrielstandard.com

  • Susan

    I wish I had the option of public transportation. I drive to the homes of the sick and infirm, to provide medically necessary services for those that have mobility limitations. Sometimes the drives are long. But there is no other way to reach them except by car.

  • http://chrisbrogan.com Chris Brogan

    I'm not talking freedom. I'm talking money. If you have a finite set of resources, do you sink them into something that's potentially a bad (low yield, long duration) investment?

    Freedom is another thing, though yes, it's tied to money.

  • http://www.pjmullen.com/ PJ Mullen

    Home ownership is no longer part of this American's dream. I spent 6 years in the mortgage business and considered real estate an excellent investment. I purchased several properties and am now desperately trying to shed two of the three I own (the third is a house I bought for Mom to live in, so I'm not selling that anytime soon). I purchased at good times, but have watched my equity all but evaporate. Now that baby #2 is just weeks away I need at the very least to sell the home my family lives in and find something more suitable for us and I no longer want to be a landlord.

    As much as I don't want to own a home anymore, the problem with long term renting situation is that you are never in control of where you are living. Landlords change hands, lease rates can change over time and the last thing I want to do is have to move my family every few years. So, once we are able to discharge ourselves of the two we currently have up for sale (we live in the heart of the city, btw), we will more than likely purchase a considerably larger home for significantly less than the neighborhoods own in now a few miles away, or even right over the border into South Carolina. And the only reason we will most likely purchase that home is so we can establish ourselves in a good school district.

    I am not operating under any assumption that this property will be an “investment” for my family or their future. The reality is that I will pay more than double the purchase price assuming I run the course on a 30 year amortization schedule. And at the end all I'm going to be left with in 30 years, is a house that will have needed additional investment in wear and tear items that won't add any value. Even if I aggressively paid down the mortgage by making one extra payment a year, and thereby shaving 6-7 years off the amortization schedule and in effect lowering the effective interest rate on my mortgage, I know based on the last decade of boom and bust in real estate I can't rely on market appreciation.

    Even the assumption that I make it through my original mortgage is a stretch. Long gone are the days where people purchase a home and live in it through their full amortization schedules. We have become a transient society and between job relocation or changes in financial situation (good or bad) the average length of time most people hold their mortgages are only 4-5 years.

    An earlier commenter made the point about a client that bought a house for $26K 30+ years ago and it's worth $300K+ today. I remember my grandfather telling me stories about how he purchased his home (in Peabody) for around $18K in 1959 and how by the late 80's the bank was begging for him to pay off his mortgage because his rate/balance was actually costing the bank money on his loan. My family still owns that house and it is worth more than 20 times what he paid for it. Quite frankly any home I purchase today in 2010 is not going to be worth 20 times what I paid for in 30, 40 or even 50 years no matter how “scarce” real estate may be.

    And as far as cars goes, I am very thankful to have a mechanic in the family. My wife's car was creeping up in mileage, so I had my brother look for something that was in good condition but needed work because the previous owner did something stupid. That search netted us a car five years newer than the one my wife was driving with half the number of miles. The car had a warped block because the previous owner drove it for months with a broken water pump.

    For whatever reason they didn't want to fix it, so we offered to buy it off them for a super low ball price. After a little back and forth we got still got the car for a song, my brother dropped a new motor in it and I paid him slightly more than his hourly rate at work for his time. $5K later my wife had a great “new to us car”. We then sold her other car for $5,500 on Craigslist.

    I can honestly say I won't ever buy a brand new car again unless I win the lottery.

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  • http://blog.andrewweir.co.uk/ Andy Weir

    Loads of questions and great comments, as you'd expect from the community. Which is nice.

    You asked what I think?

    Since leaving our respective parents houses and getting married, (just over ten years ago) my wife and I have owned our home. We're in Scotland. We were blessed with having jobs that paid just enough to let us get borrowing and all that.

    Why did we not rent? Simple – we could spend the same on rental and have nothing to show for it at the end.

    We're in the process of selling and buying a new home as our weeWeir grows, we'd like a little more space (just like you), but an important consideration was access to public transport and to (safe) bike routes. We had two cars, but are trying the one-car thing to see how we get on. Sure it's not *as* convenient, but we are spending less and thinking more intelligently about how we use the remaining car.

    I get the impression that the subtext is about *where* as much as whether or not to buy. Living on good transport links is fairly easy in Europe, and you can still have access to green space. Is that an option for you? I guess with the amount of air travel you do, being out of a city might be helpful for getting home easier?

    Buying is a risk, so is renting. Your own attitude to risk is something you have to fly with! ;->

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  • Lynn C. Black

    Chris, your title caught my eye because God is dealing with misassumptions and errors that are in all places.

    The Lord woke me several times last night with a “word” which upon waking, I reseached fully intending and believing it would mean a certain thing that I'd been conditioned to believe. I was shocked at what my study showed me. Not only me but an entire society had been deceived and led astray by errors and not just in that 'word” but all places!

    The Lord was gracious and patient and reconfirmed several words that He has been bringing to my attention and revealing His Truth in these situations.

    The bottom line in LIFE:

    1 Timothy 6:17, “Charge them that are rich in this world, that they be not highminded, nor trust in uncertain riches, but in the living God, who giveth us richly all things to enjoy;”

  • tiffanyeckhardt

    I couldn't agree more! My husband and I have totally downsized. We were a casualty of the housing market “bubble”. We didn't just own our home, but 30 units of rentals. UUGH. Needless to say, we are now much leaner and are thinking of how we can cut back more.

    The bottom line for me is that “stuff” (wether it be home, car, toys, ect.) cost money to maintain. What I realised is that the “stuff” wasn't making me happy. My real passion is traveling, second only to love of my family and friends. I could not afford what I really wanted to do because I was pursuing the American Dream. I love what Rolf Potts, author of Vagabonding says, “Traveling isn't expensive, maintaining stuff is.” I just wonder if Americans have bought into materialism at the cost of their true dreams and passions?

    As my husband and I plan our adventures around the world we are discovering that it is much easier to travel without a car abroad than it is in America. The rails in Europe make traveling to different cities feasible without having a car. You can't do that in America. In most cities a car is a must have. We have downsized to one car, but would get rid of it if we could.

    I believe there is pride in ownership. We will maintain our home, but rent it out when we travel. The difference with our new outlook is that every purchase is evaluated. Do we need it and is it a must have? Is it going to move us closer to our dreams? What is the cost to maintain?

    I love this lighter/ leaner mindset!

  • http://www.fearlessindustry.com Michael Cooney – EngNet

    Wow, lots of great comments, this post really gets a lot of people thinking.

    I've owned 3 houses in 3 different continents and looking back sometimes it may have been better to rent.

    I have a simple 5 year rule for cars and houses.

    If I only look at the finances (take out the consideration of the joy of owning and improving our own property) if you are going to stay in a place for less than 5 years I would rent. If you plan to stay 5 years and potentially more I would buy.

    I can't imagine not owning a house once I retire, owning a house outright when you retire just sounds like the right thing to do. You remove a huge chunk of monthly expense and have an asset should you wish to move to a smaller house.

    Regarding cars, if you plan to keep a car more than 5 years then it makes sense to buy, but if you think you'll want to change every 3, 4 & 5 years leasing is the way to go.

  • Shanna

    Chris,
    This topic is near and dear to my heart and one of my main motivating characteristics: I continually rethink all my assumptions–especially my strongly held beliefs. I put myself through the paces of evaluation and reevaluation to make sure that my belief system is based on my truth and not on what society expects of me or says should be important.

    To whit, home ownership and its pros and cons. I am a homeowner, well, along with the bank, but more importantly a proponent of tiny–you witnessed that when I dropped you off at the airport in my smart car! I believe we talked about our respective housing situations over breakfast that day, too. I live in 550 sf, an expensive, southern Californian 550sf. I locked up my life savings doing so (I bought my first condo at age 21 and have owned 6 homes in total). Now I am under water, in a house that while yes, I love (it's quite charming), with my mom in the same situation in a matching cottage next door. This situation is not sustainable for either of us.

    And, if one must buy, must one be so leveraged that all one's life savings is locked up in real estate and not available unless that person sells? This reality that so many people freely engage in is shortsighted at best. It's akin to the belief that owning some item, a collectible with an ostensibly high value, is valid based on the alleged value itself. Sure, that Star Wars collection is *worth* $5k, but that's only if you sell it—and if someone is actually buying at the time. Own the thing for the thing itself, if you must, but not because it's *worth* something.

    I think the sustainable wave of the future is living below one's means, living in small dwellings so to live large in the world, and keeping more of one's cash available to actually use—rather than being locked up for xx years in the hopes that one day, when and if you sell, you'll make a *killing.* And killing yourself by working so hard just to maintain the payments (and the illusion).

    Another thing that many people don't understand: a residence is NOT an investment—it is a dwelling. A rental property is an investment (and not necessarily a good one). Times have changed, but the *American Dream* hasn't caught up. Man, I could go all day on this topic…

    :)

  • http://www.planyourbestyear.com Pat Chiappa

    For myself personally – any any real estate decision I make in the future will be based strictly on personal likes and needs. In the past, I have made decisions based not only on whether the home met my personal criteria, but on whether or not it was a good investment. The good investment criteria tripped me up at times, particularly when the market took a dive. I bought a place I later realized I wasn't crazy about and then it once the market crashed, my options were challenging – stay? (yes!) go? (where?) rent?(can't sell my existing home) Eventually, I decided to rent it out and I found a lovely rental – it was an even swap so all is good. Yet it was difficult early on, deciding what on earth to do. My 'good investment' is still good, but nothing like what I expected. Moral – Live where you love – whether you rent or own. Both have value – but are not always easy to measure.

  • http://twitter.com/pabloroux pabloroux

    This is common sense!. Great!

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  • http://somethingsorganic.com/ Dewita Soeharjono

    I'm amazed that you can fit in 955 SF for four people and 2 cats, which not much of a space. A while back I visited the house where Pres. Harry Truman was born. It's not even a squad. So tiny. How about the house where Elvis was born? That's the same thing. Small. The notion that we have to live in a big house, like McMansion, just doesn't sound right. Think about the energy use. Not counting if – one spouse got laid off. And that much space for 2 people? With time and money sensibility, think living in smaller space, will become the norm.

    Glad you brought it up about cars. That it depreciates the moment you leave the dealership. I wish there are more affordable walkable communities in my area. Maybe some day..

  • http://chrisbrogan.com Chris Brogan

    We definitely agree. I love your thinking, and I look forward to following in some of your footsteps. : )

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  • http://www.avenue3re.com Lois Ardito

    This is 2010 and we are in uncertain economic times. Every investment decision made by those of us without unlimited funds should be questioned and thoroughly researched and not be an “emotional buy”. Buying a home is an “emotional buy” no question about it and is not to be confused with an investment. Buy a home knowing why you have decided to put your money into a property and not because you expect a return on it as an investment, because that might not happen. In some areas, however, like Massachusetts renting isn't always an option for young families with children and pets because of the limitations placed on rental properties by landlords and Mass lead paint laws, so they are forced to buy, a home, not an investment. Some folks buy knowing the possible financial risk, because they want to have a property that is theirs to live in and out as they please. Just know why you're buying and do the best you can in looking to future expenses that come with home ownership: closing costs, monthly taxes, maintenance, upgrades, renovations etc. all needing to be added to cost of buying and owning a home. Theses are not expenses that occur with renting and one could even argue that taking a savings of $60,000 that was earmarked for a downpayment and putting it into bonds that have a guarantee yearly return could make you more money after 5 years than owning a home for 5 years.
    There have been some interesting articles on this very subject Rent vs. Buy and some base the decision on particular areas of the country. Here are two I have read recently that I think are very interesting.
    From the NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/21/business/econ…
    and from CNN Money: http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2010/real_estate…

    I have been a Realtor for over 20 years and have been guided homeowners in the height of the Boston market in the 80's, the low of the early 90's highest interest rates, the recent slump to the slower but steady market of today. My job still has the same requirements to give the Buyer and Seller the information that they need to make the best decision in a real estate transaction today, I cannot predict the future no Realtor can.

    My advise to a potential buyer who is concerned about ROI: 1. If you think you may be in the home for less than 5 years buy something that doesn't need improvement or updates so you're not spending additional money.
    2. Buy less than you can actually afford/ don't over extend. We're seen what happens with that.
    3.Buy location. Check out the locations in the community that you are looking in that have stayed strong throughout the years, no matter the market.

    Just my 2 cents on the topic.

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  • http://twitter.com/DavidWLocke David W. Locke

    You can't own just one home. You get a starter home, then a larger home, then after the kids finish college you get a smaller home. Then, move into a retirement community, nursing home, and finally, your final resting place.

    You accumulate stuff. Store stuff in offsite storage units. Give it to the kids. Prune, prune, prune–you can't take it with you.

    Your career will also conspire against ownership of a home, a car, or stuff in general. You'll get laid off at the point where we were supposed to have it made, then a long string of losses will rip your stuff from you. The age of ageism gets younger and younger.

    Regardless of your answers, you will be touched by these processes sooner or later.

  • http://www.miamism.com miamism

    There are also a few other factors that are not easy to digest and don't apply to everyone. How about pride of home ownership? from someone that is not only a Realtor but an architect, the whole idea of making something your own is priceless…and by priceless I mean It's worth more than any bad financed deal or hard to find good landlord. And by “making something your own”, I mean remodeling and choosing finishes and materials that make you happy.

    I know you are going to the basics of “INVESTMENT”, but there's an emotional side to home ownership that cannot be quantified. If every home buyer will approach the purchase of their home as an investment, we may as well just stop building traditional cities and create concrete rentable jungles sans personality and soul.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jsheehan200 Joe Sheehan

    There are many, many advantages of home ownership over a long term home lease.

    1 – If you purchase a home with a 30 year fixed mortgage and stay there until the mortgage is paid off, even if the house loses substantial value it's still worth more than a stack of 360 rent receipts.

    2 – If you finance your home with a fixed rate mortgage, your payments remain the same over the term of the loan. Your rent will increase, probably yearly. The cost to maintain the same lifestyle increases over time.

    3 – Home ownership over the long term has ALWAYS increased personal wealth. There is nothing to indicate that the future will bring anything different. Sure, we've had a few tough years. Everyone has to live somewhere.You might as well get some financial benefit from your inevitable housing costs.

    4 – My Dad and Mom purchased their home 54 years ago. My mother still lives there. The only way she'll leave that house is in a box. They came from a very humble place, their home is my Mom's retirement investment. She lives there very happily subsidized by the enormous equity accumulated in that home. Of course, that is where I grew up – very important to me.

    5 – You have many more options to expand and change your home to suit your needs. You have no options other then moving to a new rental unit if your lifestyle changes.

    6 – Any modifications or changes you do make, if approved by your landlord, benefit the landlord over the long run.

    7 – For me, home ownership gives me a sense of peace and security. It is my domain, my private place where I am not obligated to the whims of a property investor/landlord.

    8 – It is where my life is. It is where my happiness is.

    So, if you are in a place where you expect to stay for the long term, stop worrying, buy a house, provide a safe and warm place for you and your family to live, and reap the future benefits as things get back to normal.

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  • Rick Banas

    Home ownership also grew during a period of time when a person worked for the same company in the same geographical area for long periods of time, often until retirement. With people today having to reinvent themselves jobwise many times over, much more flexibility is needed.

    Interestingly, my Dad did an analysis back in the 1960s that showed that rental was a much better investment from a pure financial standpoint. But the premise was that you would need to take the amount that you would spend as a homeowner for every little as well as major expense and invest it. The challenge was that most people would not have that discipline.

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